Monday, May 4, 2009

Additional Motivation For Favre?

There have been plenty of stories about the Favre-Hates-Thompson motivation for Favre's pending re-unretirement, but I haven't seen any Favre-Loves-His-Records pieces yet.  

Let me get this out of the way: Favre doesn't really care about his records.  Not at all.  All he cares about is playing football.  Unlike normal people like you and me and everyone else you and I know, Brett Favre absolutely does not care about money or personal achievement or anything else.  Favre is unmoved by personal gain.  He is like Jesus or Buddha.  Completely selfless.  He has said it himself about a trillion times: he doesn't care about his records.

Now that that is out of the way, let's make believe (just for fun) that Favre is a person like you and me and everyone else that we know.  Let's pretend that he takes pride in his personal achievements (I know its far fetched but work with me).

If Favre comes back one more season it makes it almost impossible for Payton Manning to break Favre's records unless Manning plays at a very high level until he is over 38 years old. 

If Favre throws for a modest 3000 yards and 20 TDs in 2009, that would give him 68,127 yards passing and 484 career touchdowns for his career.  

Right now Manning is 33 years old.  He has 45,628 yards passing and 333 touchdowns.

If Manning averaged 4000 yards passing and 30 touchdowns, he would not pass Favre for more than another 5 seasons.  

To play at that high a level into his late thirties is a lot to ask, even out of Manning.  

If he averages a more realistic 27 TDs a season (this is the number he threw in 2008) and 3750 yards per season, he would need about 5.6 seasons to pass Favre's touchdown record, and 6 full seasons to catch Favre's yardage record.   It could certainly be done, but its no sure thing. (And, it assumes that Favre won't re-re-unretire in 2010.)  Recall just a few seasons ago it was thought to be a lock that Manning would break Favre's records. 

Of course, if Manning does not break Favre's records, they could be secure for a very long time.  I don't see anyone in the league right now that could seriously threaten any of the records.  If Manning doesn't break Favre's records, they could easily stand for thirty or forty years.

But, I'm sure none of this is crossing Favre's mind.  

Have you seen him?  He's just like a kid out there!


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